Every Sunday somehow I am surprised and not surprised at the same time. The action keeps me on the edge of my seat. Pins pass here, some tackles (or more) there and my swings break with everything. At the moment, everything feels random.
But when the dust settles, I tend to travel. The signs were there. Target shares crawled in September. A running game that never looked right at camp. We are all anxious towards August. We just didn’t know when those threads would finally meet or fall apart.
Advertisement
That’s where we are after Week 8. Some of the biggest stories from Sunday felt like crops while they were being played. But if you look at a few of the stories we talked about in September, we wouldn’t be caught off guard. So let’s take it in the morning and see what’s redeeming.
Cardiac triggers are back
Here’s a quick peek behind the scenes. In the first window of Sunday’s games, I make notes and go back and forth with the crowd about what to go into this part and the theme. I couldn’t concentrate after about 4 pm ET.
On almost any other week, Joe Burrow leading the game-winner in OT will only lower my life expectancy for a year or two. Finally, there is a point of positive information on the topic “I take Burow”. Throwing for 462 yards and zipping five TD’s to his throat passes isn’t bad. But Burrow some steam fire with many turnoverscausing me to shout awkwardly at the wall of my office.
Advertisement
But the biggest problem was on the other side of the ball.
Hit Rate: 37.0% (Weeks 1-7), 19.0% (against TEN)
Added Yards Per Game: 80.5, 117.0
Passing Success Rate Pass: 52.0%, 66.0%
To be fair, the two defensive additions of the offseason showed when things looked bleak. DT Dexter Lawrence sacked Cam Ward Taking the Titans out of the FG range and he had about one and eighty points at the beginning of the second half. DE Boye Mafe raised the turnover. But Tennessee hadn’t scored more than 35 points in a game in 17 of ’21 Weeks. His highest single-game passing yardage total was 265 until he arrived at Paycor Stadium. The idea that the Bengals’ defense can now be turned around in one year seems in Gradus Fratres wordsa bit of a traveler And Cincinnati’s response on offense looked all too familiar.
As I mentioned above on Friday, unless DC Al Golden can bring his unit back up to near the middle of the league; give me more throat birds Burrow. Seven of Chase Brown’s passes went for three or fewer yards. Samaje Perine averaged 2.5 YPC while playing a 58.8% red zone snap. All playing against a defense that came into Week 8 allowing 104.9 YPG to opposing RBs.
Advertisement
Meanwhile, the Bengals are setting three-WR at a season-high 64.3% rate, and the catchers are getting their Cubs in the mix. Rookie TE Jack Endries got his first TD, and WR Dohnte Meyers ran a route on 66.0% of Burrow’s drops. He took the key and went down first to live
Instead of mortgaing its future to fix its ground game, Cincinnati should invest in what makes them a problem for opposing defenses and make Burrow the MVP candidate he has appeared for years.
Klint Kubiak will score for the Raiders
We are people in a constant “so over – so back” bandwagon. Klint Kubiak after orchestrating Seattle’s Super Bowl run. But Brock Bowers, the best offensive weapon, needed a meniscus tear before he could get a chance to play. Kirk Cousins goes on a three-game winning streak, then a trio of losses put us on “Mendoza Watch.” Certainly, against the Eagles is a spot for most teams. But I don’t remember Cousins showing this same kind of swagger last year.
Maybe Swagger is the wrong descriptor. I’m not entirely sure because I don’t know what Cousins is doing after the second TD pass. If there is a cell name, let me know who it is. Anyway, it’s not a revelation that Cousins’ plan for Kubiak is nearing completion after the two worked together in Minnesota. Cousins hit a high rate of action this season (40.6%), and the third-line personnel group requires at least two TEs on the field. Averaged 1.06 EPA per MoF effort. Seeing that the author of most of the production is not much of a shock.
The bet on Kubiak was a bet on him catching his unsuspecting passerby. He lived up to hope. Just a break getting to 70 yards for the sixth consecutive game He was an accolade of himself. But his usefulness to the offense goes beyond how far Bowers moves the ball.
Advertisement
When he returned to the line in Week 3, Bows was 11th among all pass catchers on the first trip down the road (12.6%). It sits right between Amon-Ra St. Brown and Ja’Marr Chase in that metric. “TE-WR” is also only inside the top 12 in YPRR ahead of Chase and CeeDee Lamb. And that’s while running just eight fewer trips away than Tee Higgins. A change in education is working to pass the game as seen.
At what speed did they rush? Not so.
That last sentence has most people scratching their heads for the second time. Jeanty’s output as a rusher has been a cause for concern since Week 1. After cracking the century mark against the Dolphins, Jeanty did not pass for 60 yards in a game, and his antennas on the ground receded each week. He’s continued to redeem himself to the receiverbut Mike Washington Jr. He continues to steal and carry the tort. Washington moved the chains more often and had a more prolific rate of early hits than Jeanty. With his weekly workload rising, Washington FLEX will have increased appeal in this version of the Raiders’ backfield.
Advertisement
But not Wilson and Hall in New York Anymore
We were as low as any of the skill level players until the third or fourth round for two reasons. First, we assumed the team would be lagging behind the division, but Geno Smith wanted to stabilize the situation by bringing it back. Second, and more importantly, the idea was that the targets and touchdowns on Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall were solid. Hall’s quad injury kept him on the field. But even if Hallus were to act, he could be in the same position as Ashton Jeanty.
Braelon Allen averaged 22 touches per game with Hall. He’s burning more than 100 scrimmage yards on four starts. That’s when opposing defenses put eight or more in the box on 46.2% of their carries (Fifth-highest rate among active starters). Even after Allen’s defenders met at or behind the LOS on 48 of his totes (only Bucky Irving and Derrick Henry have more). And yet you will find Allen’s name in the place where we are going to see Hall’s hall.
Advertisement
Current Success Rate: 48.4%, 3rd (out of 19 qualifiers – min. 100% team rushing rate)
Adj. Cars Post Contact by Att.: 4.6, 2nd
Explosive Play Rate: 11.8%, 4th
Smith’s return to the air raid did more than expected. Fortunately a sideline exchange and He lingered with the QB after the game Wilson’s target rate rose back up to over 20%. But in both the contests, a few names came out of the picture.
Obvious passive situations: 14.8% (Mitchell), 11.5% (Taylor), 9.8% (Sadiq)
Downfield: 27.6% (Mitchell), 13.8% (Williams), 10.6% (Cooper)
Red zone: 16.7% (Williams), 16.7% (Taylor), 16.7% (Sadiq)
Adonai Mitchell was the last to leave on the “Who’s the Jets’ WR2” game show. After Omar Cooper Ir took the title in Week 7, the former Colt converted nine targets for 142 yards. But Mitchell’s 25-yard aDOT should have someone reconsidering him for his WR3 spot in Week 9. While Smith wanted the ball to fly downfield, a sure result isn’t always on the cards. he would lead again.
